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If AU makes the decision to make a change this year I think it may be very different than what we hope for and here is why.
1. Petrino is doubtful because UT will beat us from a timeline perspective. If UT losses to USC this weekend they have their answer. The last 4 games will not provide Dooley with a chance for a meaningful win so they will move on. If AU gets an L this weekend it still too early bc CGC has the opportunity to beat UGA and UAT, highly unlikely but a PR firestorm AU can not risk. So Petrino to UT.
2. Gruden. He is and will always be an NFL guy. Why in the world would he give up the sweet gig he has for the grind of college football and recruiting. If anything he will coach in the NFL.
3. Jimbo. This is really reaching. He has FSU highly ranked in a recruiting hotbed an a schedule that allows him a much easier path to NC. Jimbo is going nowhere this year.
4. Chip Kelly. Same as Jimbo but add in Nike money...Kelly will be quacking for the foreseeable future.
5. Patterson. Will say no thank you because he has his team in a BSC conference with a much easier route to the NC, plus things did not go well last time he interviewed.
I could go on an list even less likely replacements but I will stop there. I believe the reality is that our pool would come down to Gus, strong, and the least exciting Rhodes. Largely unproven coaches. CGC had a better first 3 year record at AU then strong at UL. Rhodes has done better than CGC at state but with CGC players so can he recruit...I am not sold. All of that said I believe we will end up with the Gus bus pulling back into AU. Trading inexperience for even more inexperience but getting an offense that can flat get it done.
A few points....
On Petrino: The one thing that he's got, is time. He can get a head coaching job this year. Despite Slive's missive to the AD's, he probably can get back into the SEC if he wants to. I dont know what he wants in that regard but I'd be a bit surprised if he thought that ut was a better place for him. Either way he has the luxury of time.
On UT. I think they take a hard, hard run at Gruden. Theyre are some real connections there and they might actually get him to take that job. Petrino would be second potato, which he isn't much of a fan of.
On Jimbo: Totally agree with you. Pinning our hopes on getting him here is a bad plan. Also on Patterson.
On Strong, which I dont think you mentioned... what is the fascination with this guy?
But your premise is why I've said what I've said before which is this. Auburn has not been able to hire a household name coach, ever. Now is a unique opportunity to perhaps get a really big time coach in. My question is can our current administration do what is required to get that done. Dont know but past performance leaves me with real doubts......
Money talks and BS walks. We have never offered a big time coach big time money. I'm sure there will be some candidates no one has even mentioned. Anyone that wants to hang on to the losing ways we have now is beyond me. Should we give him another 4 years just to make sure he isn't the right coach? Please, it's about Wins and losses and what have you done for me lately. Chiz fails on these fronts.
kick 'em in the ass, big blue.
"Slive's missive to the AD's"
Of what "missive to the AD's" do you speak?
What evidence of such a missive do we have other than message board gossip?
Has it been reported in any newspaper by any credible journalist?
It seems no one that can speak openly about it knows details. But it also seems clear that enough people know that there is SOMETHING (emphasis, not yelling) to this idea.
We don't know if it's demand from Slive, a suggestion from Slive, a warning from Slive, of if it has anything to do with Slive at all. But it seems clear that there is some kind of barrier between Petrino and SEC programs at the moment.
What we don't know is if the barrier IMPOSSIBLE to overcome, or if it is simply DIFFICULT to overcome. I think it's the latter, personally. We've seen things like "Auburn isn't likely to do something EVEN Kentucky isn't willing to do", as if it's still possible to hire him, but just not likely.
Anyway, I just say all that to suggest that there is something out there that is related to Petrino and coaching at SEC programs. We don't know the nature, but it seems sure there is something.
I really don't understand why more people aren't on this bandwagon. I want Petrino but you're mostly splitting hairs between these two assuming Fisher could retain a large portion of his staff especially defensively.
Phillip, is your stance on Jimbo your belief or have you been directly told he would come by someone close to Jimbo? Thanks for your input.
Do you believe he'll be given the opportunity? What would it take to get him?
This helps explain the situation at AU. Making a decision to fire a high level employee without regard to who is available is nuts. When contemplating firing the leader of a multi million dollar business you better know who you want and if they will join your organization.
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