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Well, their baseline prediction after 10,000 simulated games isn't pretty.
Georgia 39 Auburn 22.
In the simulation outcome...
Dyer has 99 yards, McCalebb has 50 yards, and Moseley has 143 yards passing.
Harton has 70 yards rushing, Crowell has 65 yards rushing, and Murray has 266 yards passing.
But Accuscore allows you to change outputs by certain players and see how it changes the out come.
Here are the scores with the following changes....
If Dyer rushes for 150 yards and McCalebb rushes for 75 yards:
Georgia still wins, but it's Georgia 38 Auburn 32.
To get Auburn to win, I had to give Moseley 200+ yards passing, Dyer 125+ yards rushing, Murry 225 yards or less passing, Crowell and Harton 130 yards or less combined rushing, and Georgia with two turnovers.
That gets a score of Auburn 24 Georgia 23.
To sum up, the Accurscore computer really likes Georgia to win the game. But I wonder what the computer knows about Georgia's competitors. I expect something much closer than the baseline simulation of 39-22.
Vegas also has georgia favored, by close to 13. Maybe I've had to many orange and blue drinks but,i don't believe georgia is that much better than auburn. Didn't we beat south carolina on the road? The same carolina team that beat georgia. I don't understand the spread being that large. I think the Dawgs will have their hands full in athens. Anyway, WAR DAMN EAGLE!!!!!!!!!!!!!
How can you simulate fumbles, penalties, interceptions, etc? And where they may occur on the field and during the game?
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